Local Political Expert (Maine) — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Listing checked October 17, 2026 · pay as published by Mercor
Overview
Jade needs a Maine-focused analyst to write point-in-time political reports that help evaluate and improve AI models on elections, polling, and political risk. Each assignment gives you a fixed evidence cutoff, so you record the judgment a strong analyst would make at that moment without hindsight. You will cover Maine races and statewide contests, explain how events shape polling and market-implied odds, and grade model-generated analysis against your own standard. Work happens remote on an hourly basis at $100 to $200 per hour.
What You'll Do5
- 1Write political reports and forecasts that rely on evidence available at a stated cutoff.
- 2State clear directional calls on polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds for Maine races.
- 3Explain the causal chain that links an event to expected political and market outcomes.
- 4Grade model-generated political analysis against the standard you would apply as a working analyst.
- 5Document the reasoning behind each judgment so reviewers can trace your logic.
Requirements6
- 1Hands-on work on current or recent Maine races for Senate, governor, or statewide office, or on recent cycles in the state.
- 2Direct knowledge of Maine's electorate, candidates, and local political conditions.
- 3A track record of live calls on polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races, not retrospective commentary.
- 4Strong polling literacy and the ability to trace cause and effect in political events.
- 5Eight or more years of direct experience, or clear evidence of equivalent performance.
- 6Background in a university political science department, survey research center, state or regional polling firm, campaign or party analytics team, or state political-risk desk.
Who Should Apply
The right candidate has worked Maine races up close, whether as a university political scientist, state pollster, party analytics staffer, or state political-risk analyst. You have made live calls on polling and win odds, not just written about them after the fact. Eight or more years in the field or a comparable record of strong performance fits this work.
Salary Insight
The posted rate is $100 to $200 per hour, which reflects the senior, specialist nature of the work and the 8+ year experience bar. Expect interviewers to test whether your Maine race work supports that level.
Location
Compensation
$100–200/hr
Required Skills
Application Tip
Lead with one Maine race you covered live: name the contest, your role, and the polling or win-probability call you made before the result. Add a short note on the evidence cutoff you used and how you avoided hindsight.
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